Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Leicester City Under-21s win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Leicester City Under-21s
47.03% ( -4.69)	25.09% ( 0.62)	27.88% ( 4.07)

Both teams to score 54% (

1.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.98% (

0.54)

49.02% (

-0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.9% (

0.49)

71.1% (

-0.49)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.13% (

-1.73)

20.87% (

1.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.42% (

-2.78)

53.57% (

2.78)

Leicester City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.25% (

3.64)

31.75% (

-3.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.82% (

3.97)

68.17% (

-3.97)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 47.03%

Leicester City Under-21s 27.88%

Draw 25.09%

Burton Albion	Draw	Leicester City Under-21s
1-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.81) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( -1.12) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.43) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.85) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.28) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.44) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 47.03%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.36) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.09%	0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.57) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.79) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.71) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.52) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.32) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.4) Other @ 2.75% Total : 27.88%