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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 53.85% ( | 25.28% ( | 20.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.42% ( | 55.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.25% ( | 76.75% ( |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.35% ( | 20.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.77% ( | 53.22% ( |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.36% ( | 41.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.88% ( | 78.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 13.56% 2-0 @ 10.69% 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 3-0 @ 5.63% ( 3-1 @ 4.93% ( 4-0 @ 2.22% ( 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 4-1 @ 1.94% ( Other @ 3.34% Total : 53.84% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 2-2 @ 4.11% ( Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 7.53% ( 1-2 @ 5.21% 0-2 @ 3.3% ( 1-3 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.2% 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.15% Total : 20.87% |