Premier League 2 - Div 2

Aug 19, 2022 at 7pm UK

St George's Park National Football Centre

Stoke U21s
0 - 3
Saints U21s

Okagbue (43'), Reddin (75')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Bellis (28', 45'), Pearce (90+1')
Payne (47')

Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Stoke City Under-21s and Southampton Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 18.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.87%) and 1-3 (7.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Stoke City Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Stoke City Under-21s	Draw	Southampton Under-21s
18.27% ( -3.91)	18.81% ( -1.78)	62.91% ( 5.68)

Both teams to score 63.42% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.03% (

2.81)

30.97% (

-2.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.65% (

3.26)

52.35% (

-3.26)

Stoke City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.08% (

-1.88)

29.92% (

1.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.97% (

-2.33)

66.03% (

2.33)

Southampton Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.5% (

2.29)

9.5% (

-2.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.15% (

5.13)

31.85% (

-5.13)

Score Analysis

Stoke City Under-21s 18.27%

Southampton Under-21s 62.91%

Draw 18.81%

Stoke City Under-21s	Draw	Southampton Under-21s
2-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.84) 1-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.77) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.28) 2-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.6) 3-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.46) Other @ 3.65% Total : 18.27%	1-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.91) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.38) 0-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.46) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.36% Total : 18.81%	1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 7.46% ( 0.61) 0-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.38) 0-3 @ 6.18% ( 0.79) 2-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 4.39% ( 0.73) 0-4 @ 3.64% ( 0.76) 2-4 @ 2.65% ( 0.32) 1-5 @ 2.07% ( 0.5) 0-5 @ 1.71% ( 0.48) 2-5 @ 1.25% ( 0.25) 3-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.95% Total : 62.91%