Premier League 2 - Div 2
Aug 19, 2022 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT St George's Park National Football Centre
  • David Okagbue 43' yellowcard
  • Kahrel Reddin 75' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Bellis 28'
  • goal Sam Bellis 45'
  • yellowcard Lewis Payne 47'
  • goal Luke Pearce 90'+1'

Stoke City Under-21s vs Southampton Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Aug 15, 2022 7.00pm
Newcastle U21s 0 - 1 Stoke U21s
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Dara McGuinness

Southampton Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Aug 12, 2022 7.00pm
Saints U21s 4 - 1 WBA U21s
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Dominic Ballard

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 18.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.87%) and 1-3 (7.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Stoke City Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.

Result

Stoke City Under-21s 18.27% (-3.91)
Draw 18.81% (-1.78)
Southampton Under-21s 62.91% (+5.69)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.42% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.03% (+2.81)
Under 2.5 30.97% (-2.82)
Over 3.5 47.65% (+3.27)
Under 3.5 52.35% (-3.27)

Stoke City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 70.08% (-1.89)
Under 0.5 29.92% (+1.88)
Over 1.5 33.97% (-2.33)
Under 1.5 66.03% (+2.33)

Southampton Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 90.5% (+2.29)
Under 0.5 9.5% (-2.29)
Over 1.5 68.15% (+5.13)
Under 1.5 31.85% (-5.13)

Score analysis

Stoke City Under-21s 18.27%
Draw 18.81%
Southampton Under-21s 62.91%
Stoke City Under-21s
2-1 @ 4.87% (-0.85)
1-0 @ 3.43% (-0.78)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.29)
2-0 @ 2.07% (-0.61)
3-1 @ 1.96% (-0.47)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 18.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.07% (-0.92)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.38)
0-0 @ 2.84% (-0.47)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 18.81%
Southampton Under-21s
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 7.87% (+0.32)
1-3 @ 7.46% (+0.61)
0-1 @ 6.69% (-0.38)
0-3 @ 6.18% (+0.80)
2-3 @ 4.5% (+0.15)
1-4 @ 4.39% (+0.73)
0-4 @ 3.64% (+0.76)
2-4 @ 2.65% (+0.33)
1-5 @ 2.07% (+0.51)
0-5 @ 1.71% (+0.49)
2-5 @ 1.25% (-98.36)
3-4 @ 1.07% (-97.64)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 62.91%