EFL Trophy
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Matt Jay
40'
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Kegs Chauke
45'+3'
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Dominic Ballard
18'
Exeter City vs Southampton Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 80.07%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 7.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.78%), while for a Southampton Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
Result
Exeter City
80.07%
▲
(+1.66)
Draw
12.57%
▼
(-1.26)
Southampton Under-21s
7.35%
▼
(-0.41)
Both Teams to Score:
51.53%
▲
(+3.48)
Goals
Over 2.5
71%
▲
(+5.18)
Under 2.5
28.99%
▼
(-5.18)
Over 3.5
50.03%
▲
(+6.09)
Under 3.5
49.97%
▼
(-6.09)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5
94.41%
▲
(+1.39)
Under 0.5
5.59%
▼
(-1.39)
Over 1.5
78.29%
▲
(+3.84)
Under 1.5
21.71%
▼
(-3.84)
Southampton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5
54.58%
▲
(+2.93)
Under 0.5
45.42%
▼
(-2.93)
Over 1.5
18.73%
▲
(+2.22)
Under 1.5
81.26%
▼
(-2.22)
Score analysis
Exeter City
80.06%
Draw
12.57%
Southampton Under-21s
7.35%
Exeter City
2-0
@
10.55%
▼
(-1.40)
3-0 @ 10.15% ▼ (-0.46)
2-1 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.36)
3-1 @ 8.01% ▲ (+0.30)
1-0 @ 7.32% ▼ (-1.66)
4-0 @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.26)
4-1 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.65)
5-0 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.46)
5-1 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.60)
3-2 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.36)
4-2 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.42)
6-0 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.36)
6-1 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.39)
5-2 @ 1.32% ▼ (-98.09)
Other @ 4.65%
Total : 80.06%
3-0 @ 10.15% ▼ (-0.46)
2-1 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.36)
3-1 @ 8.01% ▲ (+0.30)
1-0 @ 7.32% ▼ (-1.66)
4-0 @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.26)
4-1 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.65)
5-0 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.46)
5-1 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.60)
3-2 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.36)
4-2 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.42)
6-0 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.36)
6-1 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.39)
5-2 @ 1.32% ▼ (-98.09)
Other @ 4.65%
Total : 80.06%
Draw
1-1
@
5.78%
▼
(-0.75)
2-2 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.84)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 12.57%
2-2 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.84)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 12.57%
Southampton Under-21s
1-2
@
2.28%
▼
(-0.10)
0-1 @ 2% ▼ (-0.45)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 7.35%
0-1 @ 2% ▼ (-0.45)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 7.35%