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Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 9
Sep 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Exeter City

Shrewsbury
3 - 2
Exeter

Pennington (22'), Bayliss (34'), Dunkley (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Sweeney (17'), Grounds (20')
Coverage of the League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Exeter City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 54.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawExeter City
21.04% (0.079000000000001 0.08)24.78% (0.004999999999999 0)54.18% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 47.91% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.42% (0.064 0.06)53.57% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.92% (0.053000000000001 0.05)75.08% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.68% (0.117 0.12)40.31% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.06% (0.106 0.11)76.94% (-0.10900000000001 -0.11)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.27% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)19.73% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.25% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)51.75% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 21.04%
    Exeter City 54.16%
    Draw 24.77%
Shrewsbury TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 7.23% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 5.33% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.28% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.61% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.31% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 21.04%
1-1 @ 11.72%
0-0 @ 7.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 12.9% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 10.47% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 5.67% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.15%
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.09%
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 54.16%

Head to Head
Apr 11, 2015 3pm
Nov 22, 2014 3pm
Exeter
3-2
Shrewsbury
Nichols (46', 91'), Wheeler (75')
Grimes (61'), Cummins (77'), Wheeler (96')
Collins (13', 34')
Lawrence (29'), Grimmer (65'), Knight-Percival (70'), Goldson (82')
Mar 3, 2009 3pm
Shrewsbury
1-1
Exeter
Holt (51' pen.)
Holt (10'), Murray (64')
Stewart (83')
Gill (59')
Aug 16, 2008 3pm