EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Second Round

Aug 23, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
0 - 1
Burnley

Da Costa (57'), Flanagan (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bastien (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Shrewsbury Town and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Ipswich
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Lincoln City	5	-3	6
18	Shrewsbury Town	5	-3	5
19	Oxford United	5	-2	4

Burnley

Last Six:

Last Game: Burnley 3-3 Blackpool
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Wigan Athletic	4	1	6
16	Burnley	5	0	6
17	Queens Park Rangers	5	-1	5

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 63.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 15.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Burnley in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burnley.

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Burnley
15.49% ( 0)	20.81% ( 0)	63.7% ( -0)

Both teams to score 49.95% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.37% (

45.63% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.05% (

67.95% (

-0)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.84% (

42.16% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.43% (

78.57% (

-0)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.36% (

13.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.18% (

40.82%

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 15.49%

Burnley 63.69%

Draw 20.81%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 4.97% 2-1 @ 4.27% 2-0 @ 2.15% 3-1 @ 1.23% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 1.65% Total : 15.49%	1-1 @ 9.9% 0-0 @ 5.75% 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.81%	0-1 @ 11.45% 0-2 @ 11.41% 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-3 @ 7.58% 1-3 @ 6.54% 0-4 @ 3.77% 1-4 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 2.83% 0-5 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 1.41% 1-5 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.79% Total : 63.69%