Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 63.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 15.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Burnley in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burnley.