MX23RW : Thursday, December 12 02:51:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 12, 2022 at 8pm UK
Vicarage Road
Burnley logo

Watford
1 - 0
Burnley

Cleverley (45+2')
Asprilla (88')
Kamara (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brownhill (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Watford and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Watford 1-2 Burnley

These two teams have the same number of points, and are also tied when it comes to goals for and goals against, so this should be an even match featuring a pair of sides who were both relegated from the Premier League last season. Burnley look a lot more comfortable under their new system, and we expect the Clarets' energy and aggressiveness will help them past the home side in this one, as Watford seem to be taking a little longer to develop some solid chemistry. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawBurnley
40.73%28.67%30.59% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 44.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.64%61.35% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.74%81.26% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.43%29.56% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.41%65.59% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.78% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)36.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)73%
Score Analysis
    Watford 40.72%
    Burnley 30.59%
    Draw 28.66%
WatfordDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 13.04%
2-1 @ 8.08%
2-0 @ 7.95%
3-1 @ 3.28%
3-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 1.67%
4-1 @ 1%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 40.72%
1-1 @ 13.25%
0-0 @ 10.7%
2-2 @ 4.1%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.66%
0-1 @ 10.87%
1-2 @ 6.73%
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.28%
0-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 30.59%

How you voted: Watford vs Burnley

Watford
33.5%
Draw
23.9%
Burnley
42.6%
176
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Watford
1-2
Burnley
Tarkowski (8' og.)
Kucka (87')
Cork (83'), Brownhill (86')
Tarkowski (48'), Collins (90+1')
Feb 5, 2022 6pm
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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