Championship

Championship | Gameweek 3

Aug 12, 2022 at 8pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
1 - 0
Burnley

Cleverley (45+2')
Asprilla (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Brownhill (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Watford and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

Last Six:

Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Watford
Monday, August 8 at 8pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Hull City	2	1	4
6	Watford	2	1	4
7	Sheffield United	2	1	3

Burnley

Last Six:

Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Luton
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Birmingham City	2	1	4
4	Burnley	2	1	4
5	Hull City	2	1	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Burnley
40.73%	28.67%	30.59% ( -0)

Both teams to score 44.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.64%

61.35% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.74%

81.26% (

-0)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.43%

29.56% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.41%

65.59% (

-0)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.78% (

-0)

36.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.99% (

-0)

73%

Score Analysis

Watford 40.72%

Burnley 30.59%

Draw 28.66%

Watford	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 13.04% 2-1 @ 8.08% 2-0 @ 7.95% 3-1 @ 3.28% 3-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 1.67% 4-1 @ 1% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.5% Total : 40.72%	1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.7% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.66%	0-1 @ 10.87% 1-2 @ 6.73% 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.93% Total : 30.59%