Championship

Championship | Gameweek 44

Apr 24, 2021 at 3pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
1 - 0
Millwall

Sarr (11' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Muller (86')

Reaction

Watford manager Xisco Munoz pictured in February 2021

Xisco Munoz "a little sad" as Watford fans celebrate promotion from home

The Hornets secured an instant return to the Premier League with victory over Millwall.

Apr 24, 19:00

The Match

Match Report

Ismaila Sarr scored the penalty that earned the Hornets promotion back to the top flight.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 18.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Millwall
55.33%	26.14%	18.53%

Both teams to score 40.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39%

60.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.01%

80.99%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.74%

22.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.3%

55.7%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.53%

47.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.16%

82.83%

Score Analysis

Watford 55.32%

Millwall 18.53%

Draw 26.13%

Watford	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 15.87% 2-0 @ 11.92% 2-1 @ 8.89% 3-0 @ 5.97% 3-1 @ 4.45% 4-0 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.67% 3-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.64% Total : 55.32%	1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 3.31% Other @ 0.44% Total : 26.13%	0-1 @ 7.87% 1-2 @ 4.41% 0-2 @ 2.93% 1-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.22% Total : 18.53%

How you voted: Watford vs Millwall

Watford

82.0%

Draw

11.2%

Millwall

6.7%