Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 51.43%. A win for Watford had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Watford win was 2-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.