Championship Gameweek 2
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Turf Moor
  • Josh Brownhill 50' goal
  • Ashley Barnes 89' yellowcard
  • Connor Roberts 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Daniel Potts 5'
  • yellowcard Carlton Morris 66'

Burnley vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Jul 29, 2022 8.00pm
Huddersfield 0 - 1 Burnley
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Nathan Tella

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Jul 30, 2022 3.00pm
Luton 0 - 0 Birmingham
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Carlton Morris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result

Burnley 41.59% (-0.29)
Draw 28.07% (+0.35)
Luton Town 30.33% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.46% (-1.00)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.61% (-1.25)
Under 2.5 59.39% (+1.25)
Over 3.5 20.23% (-0.97)
Under 3.5 79.77% (+0.97)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 71.87% (-0.75)
Under 0.5 28.13% (+0.75)
Over 1.5 36.19% (-0.96)
Under 1.5 63.81% (+0.96)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 64.64% (-0.72)
Under 0.5 35.36% (+0.72)
Over 1.5 27.88% (-0.75)
Under 1.5 72.12% (+0.75)

Score analysis

Burnley 41.59%
Draw 28.07%
Luton Town 30.33%
Burnley
1-0 @ 12.61% (+0.34)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 8% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.52% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 3.38% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.11)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 41.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.11% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 9.95% (+0.46)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.15)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.07%
Luton Town
0-1 @ 10.34% (+0.29)
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 5.38% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.09)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 30.33%

Head to Head

Championship
Mar 31, 2007 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship
Oct 31, 2006 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • yellowcard Steve Foster 22'
  • goal Andy Gray 31'
  • goal Andy Gray 36'
  • yellowcard Wade Elliott 51'
  • redcard Steve Foster 73'
Championship
Apr 30, 2006 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Kyle Lafferty 78' goal
  • goal Rowan Vine 42'
  • yellowcard Ahmet Brkovic 67'
  • yellowcard Leon Barnett 90'
Championship
Nov 5, 2005 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Steve Howard 43' goal
  • Leon Barnett 54' yellowcard
  • Warren Feeney 60' goal
  • goal Ade Akinbiyi 15'
  • goal Ade Akinbiyi 31'
  • redcard Brian Jensen 39'
  • goal Ade Akinbiyi 54'