MX23RW : Saturday, August 20 05:28:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK at Turf Moor
Burnley
1 - 1
Luton
Brownhill (50')
Barnes (89'), Roberts (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Potts (5')
Morris (66')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burnley 2-0 Luton Town

Burnley impressed in their first game of the season, and we think that Kompany's side will have enough quality to beat Luton on Saturday, which would ensure the Clarets begin the campaign with consecutive victories. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawLuton Town
41.59% (-0.28 -0.28) 28.07% (0.345 0.34) 30.33% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 46.46% (-0.999 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.61% (-1.247 -1.25)59.39% (1.247 1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.23% (-0.968 -0.97)79.77% (0.96799999999999 0.97)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.87% (-0.74600000000001 -0.75)28.13% (0.746 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.19% (-0.957 -0.96)63.81% (0.956 0.96)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.64% (-0.712 -0.71)35.36% (0.712 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.88% (-0.748 -0.75)72.12% (0.748 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 41.59%
    Luton Town 30.33%
    Draw 28.07%
BurnleyDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 12.61% (0.33 0.33)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-0 @ 8% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.52% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-0 @ 3.38% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 41.59%
1-1 @ 13.11% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 9.95% (0.459 0.46)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.07%
0-1 @ 10.34% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.38% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 30.33%

How you voted: Burnley vs Luton

Burnley
88.9%
Draw
6.3%
Luton Town
4.8%
63
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2007 3pm
Oct 31, 2006 3pm
Luton
0-2
Burnley
Gray (31', 36')
Foster (22'), Elliott (51')
Foster (73')
Apr 30, 2006 3pm
Burnley
1-1
Luton
Lafferty (78')
Vine (42')
Brkovic (67'), Barnett (90')
Nov 5, 2005 3pm
Luton
2-3
Burnley
Howard (43'), Feeney (60')
Barnett (54')
Akinbiyi (15', 31', 54')
Jensen (39')
rhs 2.0
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