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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 1
Jul 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Birmingham logo

Luton
0 - 0
Birmingham

FT

Bacuna (35'), Sanderson (50'), Woods (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-1 West Ham
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Luton Town 1-0 Birmingham City

On paper, there appears to be little splitting these sides, but in reality they are two teams likely heading in different directions. We do not envisage many goals on Saturday, but the hosts should have enough about them to earn three points and get their season off to a winning start. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luton Town win with a probability of 50.37%. A draw has a probability of 26.5% and a win for Birmingham City has a probability of 23.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Birmingham City win it is 0-1 (8.43%).

Result
Luton TownDrawBirmingham City
50.37% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 26.47% (-0.064 -0.06) 23.16% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 45.75% (0.279 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.26% (0.307 0.31)57.74% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.52% (0.242 0.24)78.49% (-0.23700000000001 -0.24)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97% (0.116 0.12)23.03% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.15% (0.17 0.17)56.85% (-0.164 -0.16)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.44% (0.27500000000001 0.28)40.57% (-0.27 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.83% (0.246 0.25)77.17% (-0.241 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 50.36%
    Birmingham City 23.16%
    Draw 26.47%
Luton TownDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 13.71% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 10.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.93% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 50.36%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.34% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.58% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.8% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.68% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 23.16%

How you voted: Luton vs Birmingham

Luton Town
73.2%
Draw
10.7%
Birmingham City
16.1%
56
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Luton
0-5
Birmingham

Rea (34')
Roberts (7'), Hogan (26', 47'), Gardner (84'), Aneke (88')
Roberts (4')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Luton
1-1
Birmingham
Pearson (37')
Rea (73')
Jutkiewicz (23' pen.)
Dean (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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