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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 1
Jul 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Birmingham logo

Luton
0 - 0
Birmingham

FT

Bacuna (35'), Sanderson (50'), Woods (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-1 West Ham
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Luton Town 1-0 Birmingham City

On paper, there appears to be little splitting these sides, but in reality they are two teams likely heading in different directions. We do not envisage many goals on Saturday, but the hosts should have enough about them to earn three points and get their season off to a winning start. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luton Town win with a probability of 50.37%. A draw has a probability of 26.5% and a win for Birmingham City has a probability of 23.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Birmingham City win it is 0-1 (8.43%).

Result
Luton TownDrawBirmingham City
50.37% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 26.47% (-0.064 -0.06) 23.16% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 45.75% (0.279 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.26% (0.307 0.31)57.74% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.52% (0.242 0.24)78.49% (-0.23700000000001 -0.24)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97% (0.116 0.12)23.03% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.15% (0.17 0.17)56.85% (-0.164 -0.16)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.44% (0.27500000000001 0.28)40.57% (-0.27 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.83% (0.246 0.25)77.17% (-0.241 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 50.36%
    Birmingham City 23.16%
    Draw 26.47%
Luton TownDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 13.71% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 10.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.93% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 50.36%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.34% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.58% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.8% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.68% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 23.16%

How you voted: Luton vs Birmingham

Luton Town
73.2%
Draw
10.7%
Birmingham City
16.1%
56
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Luton
0-5
Birmingham

Rea (34')
Roberts (7'), Hogan (26', 47'), Gardner (84'), Aneke (88')
Roberts (4')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Luton
1-1
Birmingham
Pearson (37')
Rea (73')
Jutkiewicz (23' pen.)
Dean (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
2Leicester CityLeicester422841079384188
3Leeds UnitedLeeds43269876344287
4Southampton42259884543084
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4320121166422472
6Norwich CityNorwich432181476601671
7Hull City421811136254865
8Coventry CityCoventry4217121366521463
9Middlesbrough43189166156563
10Preston North EndPreston43189165660-463
11Cardiff CityCardiff43185204860-1259
12Bristol City431610175046458
13Sunderland43168195250256
14Swansea CitySwansea431411185362-953
15Watford431216155958152
16Millwall431311194255-1350
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn431310205771-1449
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth431212195866-848
19Queens Park RangersQPR431211204057-1747
20Stoke CityStoke431211204160-1947
21Birmingham CityBirmingham43129224864-1645
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield43917174770-2344
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds43128233667-3144
RRotherham UnitedRotherham43411283285-5323


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