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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%).
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Birmingham City |
37.02% | 24.19% | 38.79% |
Both teams to score 60.74% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.19% | 41.81% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.79% | 64.21% |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.49% | 22.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.92% | 56.08% |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.38% | 21.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.27% | 54.73% |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Birmingham City |
2-1 @ 8.29% 1-0 @ 7.26% 2-0 @ 5.41% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 3.16% 3-0 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.39% Total : 37.02% | 1-1 @ 11.11% 2-2 @ 6.35% 0-0 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-1 @ 7.45% 0-2 @ 5.71% 1-3 @ 4.35% 2-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 2.91% 1-4 @ 1.66% 2-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
> Championship Full Table |