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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
MK Dons

Exeter
1 - 0
MK Dons

Diabate (66')
Grounds (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Harvie (70')
Coverage of the League One clash between Exeter City and MK Dons.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawMK Dons
44.25% (1.606 1.61) 26.73% (-0.527 -0.53) 29.01% (-1.08 -1.08)
Both teams to score 49.67% (0.997 1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.99% (1.541 1.54)55% (-1.541 -1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.72% (1.256 1.26)76.27% (-1.257 -1.26)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.28% (1.513 1.51)24.71% (-1.513 -1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.74% (2.069 2.07)59.26% (-2.071 -2.07)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.97% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)34.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.29% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)70.71%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 44.25%
    MK Dons 29.01%
    Draw 26.73%
Exeter CityDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 11.75% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 8.22% (0.222 0.22)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.283 0.28)
3-0 @ 3.83% (0.262 0.26)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.152 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.156 0.16)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.145 0.15)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 44.25%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 8.41% (-0.515 -0.51)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.556 -0.56)
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4.89% (-0.299 -0.3)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 29.01%

Head to Head
Feb 2, 2019 3pm
Exeter
3-1
MK Dons
Law (7', 72'), Taylor (17')
Sweeney (6')
Walsh (48')
Cargill (58'), Houghton (73'), Gilbey (95')
Aug 25, 2018 3pm
MK Dons
1-0
Exeter
Agard (65' pen.)
Agard (17'), D'Ath (90')

Moxey (37'), Stockley (64')
Moxey (55')
Mar 10, 2012 3pm
Aug 13, 2011 3pm
Jan 8, 2011 3pm
Exeter
1-1
MK Dons
Cureton (8')
Duffy (24'), Cozic (53'), Dunne (81'), Sercombe (86')

Doumbé (59'), MacKenzie (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
2Derby CountyDerby462881078374192
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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