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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
MK Dons

Exeter
1 - 0
MK Dons

Diabate (66')
Grounds (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Harvie (70')
Coverage of the League One clash between Exeter City and MK Dons.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawMK Dons
44.25% (1.606 1.61) 26.73% (-0.527 -0.53) 29.01% (-1.08 -1.08)
Both teams to score 49.67% (0.997 1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.99% (1.541 1.54)55% (-1.541 -1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.72% (1.256 1.26)76.27% (-1.257 -1.26)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.28% (1.513 1.51)24.71% (-1.513 -1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.74% (2.069 2.07)59.26% (-2.071 -2.07)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.97% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)34.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.29% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)70.71%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 44.25%
    MK Dons 29.01%
    Draw 26.73%
Exeter CityDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 11.75% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 8.22% (0.222 0.22)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.283 0.28)
3-0 @ 3.83% (0.262 0.26)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.152 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.156 0.16)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.145 0.15)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 44.25%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 8.41% (-0.515 -0.51)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.556 -0.56)
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4.89% (-0.299 -0.3)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 29.01%

Head to Head
Feb 2, 2019 3pm
Exeter
3-1
MK Dons
Law (7', 72'), Taylor (17')
Sweeney (6')
Walsh (48')
Cargill (58'), Houghton (73'), Gilbey (95')
Aug 25, 2018 3pm
MK Dons
1-0
Exeter
Agard (65' pen.)
Agard (17'), D'Ath (90')

Moxey (37'), Stockley (64')
Moxey (55')
Mar 10, 2012 3pm
Aug 13, 2011 3pm
Jan 8, 2011 3pm
Exeter
1-1
MK Dons
Cureton (8')
Duffy (24'), Cozic (53'), Dunne (81'), Sercombe (86')

Doumbé (59'), MacKenzie (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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