League One Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Cheick Diabate 66' goal
  • Jonathan Grounds 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Harvie 70'

Exeter City vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
Accrington 0 - 0 Exeter
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Sam Nombe

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
Morecambe 0 - 4 MK Dons
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Mohamed Eisa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match.

Result

Exeter City 44.25% (+1.61)
Draw 26.73% (-0.53)
MK Dons 29.01% (-1.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.67% (+1.00)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.99% (+1.55)
Under 2.5 55% (-1.55)
Over 3.5 23.72% (+1.26)
Under 3.5 76.27% (-1.26)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 75.28% (+1.52)
Under 0.5 24.71% (-1.52)
Over 1.5 40.74% (+2.07)
Under 1.5 59.26% (-2.08)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 65.97% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 34.03%
Over 1.5 29.29% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 70.71%

Score analysis

Exeter City 44.25%
Draw 26.73%
MK Dons 29.01%
Exeter City
1-0 @ 11.75% (-0.19)
2-1 @ 8.86% (+0.24)
2-0 @ 8.22% (+0.23)
3-1 @ 4.13% (+0.29)
3-0 @ 3.83% (+0.27)
3-2 @ 2.22% (+0.16)
4-1 @ 1.44% (+0.16)
4-0 @ 1.34% (+0.15)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 44.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.20)
0-0 @ 8.41% (-0.52)
2-2 @ 4.77% (+0.13)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.73%
MK Dons
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.56)
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.12)
0-2 @ 4.89% (-0.30)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.72% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 29.01%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 2, 2019 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT St. James' Park (Exeter, Devon)
  • Pierce Sweeney 6' yellowcard
  • Nicky Law 7' goal
  • Jake Taylor 17' goal
  • Nicky Law 72' goal
  • goal Joe Walsh 48'
  • yellowcard Baily Cargill 58'
  • yellowcard Jordan Houghton 73'
  • yellowcard Alex Gilbey 95'
League Two Gameweek 5
Aug 25, 2018 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium mk (Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire)
  • Kieran Agard 17' yellowcard
  • Kieran Agard 65' goal
  • Lawson D'Ath 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dean Moxey 37'
  • redcard Dean Moxey 55'
  • yellowcard Jayden Stockley 64'
League One
Mar 10, 2012 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Charlie Macdonald 27' goal
  • Jabo Ibehre 78' goal
League One
Aug 13, 2011 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • James Dunne 90' yellowcard
  • goal Jabo Ibehre 23'
  • yellowcard Stephen Gleeson 78'
League One
Jan 8, 2011 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jamie Cureton 8' goal
  • Richard Duffy 24' yellowcard
  • Bertie Cozic 53' yellowcard
  • James Dunne 81' yellowcard
  • Liam Sercombe 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mathias Doumbé 59'
  • yellowcard Gary MacKenzie 90'
League One
Oct 23, 2010 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Aaron Wilbraham 53' goal
  • Aaron Wilbraham 54' yellowcard
  • Luke Chadwick 84' yellowcard
  • David Martin 90' yellowcard
  • Sam Baldock 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard Duffy 90'