EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Aug 30, 2022 at 7pm UK

Stadium mk

MK Dons
1 - 2
Cheltenham

Jules (43')
Oyegoke (7'), Gyamfi (17')

FT(HT: 1-1)

May (8' pen.), Brown (54')
Raglan (12'), Horton (33'), Barkers (42')

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between MK Dons and Cheltenham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

Last Six:

Last Game: Morecambe 0-4 MK Dons
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Wycombe Wanderers	6	0	7
13	MK Dons	6	0	7
14	Fleetwood Town	6	0	7

Cheltenham Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 Oxford Utd
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
20	Shrewsbury Town	6	-3	6
21	Cheltenham Town	6	-4	4
22	Forest Green Rovers	5	-8	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 62.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 16.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Cheltenham Town
62.77% ( -0.25)	20.73% ( 0.11)	16.5% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 52.53% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.64% (

-0.24)

43.36% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.24% (

-0.23)

65.76% (

0.23)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.79% (

-0.15)

13.21% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.05% (

-0.3)

39.94% (

0.29)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.52% (

0.02)

39.47% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.83% (

0.02)

76.17% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

MK Dons 62.76%

Cheltenham Town 16.5%

Draw 20.73%

MK Dons	Draw	Cheltenham Town
2-0 @ 10.68% 1-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.11% Total : 62.76%	1-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.73%	0-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 16.5%