League One

League One | Gameweek 11

Sep 24, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

The New Lawn

Forest Green
0 - 4
Exeter

FT(HT: 0-3)

Nombe (6'), Brown (26' pen., 41', 83' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Newport 1-2 Forest Green
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Exeter City
36.68% ( -0.36)	26.46% ( -0.15)	36.86% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 52.7% (

0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.88% (

0.64)

52.12% (

-0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.15% (

0.55)

73.84% (

-0.55)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.54% (

0.1)

27.46% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.05% (

0.12)

62.95% (

-0.12)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.65% (

0.61)

27.35% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.19% (

0.78)

62.81% (

-0.78)

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 36.68%

Exeter City 36.86%

Draw 26.45%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 36.68%	1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.98% Total : 36.86%