League One | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
The New Lawn
Forest Green0 - 4Exeter
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newport 1-2 Forest Green
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
We said: Forest Green Rovers 1-1 Exeter City
With both clubs entering this contest on the back of surprise home defeats, there will be a certain acceptance that avoiding defeat on Saturday would not be the worst result. With that in mind, we would not be surprised to see a low-scoring draw played out at The New Lawn. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Exeter City |
36.68% ( -0.36) | 26.46% ( -0.15) | 36.86% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 52.7% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
