Exeter
3 - 2
Forest Green

Ajose (45+1'), Jay (57'), Key (67')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Stevens (5', 51')
Wagstaff (41'), Evans (71')

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Exeter City and Forest Green Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
50.03%	24.82%	25.14%

Both teams to score 52.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.15%

49.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.15%

71.84%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.06%

19.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.91%

52.08%

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.61%

34.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.91%

71.09%

Score Analysis

Exeter City 50.03%

Forest Green Rovers 25.14%

Draw 24.82%

Exeter City	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 9.52% 2-0 @ 8.91% 3-1 @ 5.12% 3-0 @ 4.79% 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.82% Total : 50.03%	1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 6.85% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.82%	0-1 @ 7.32% 1-2 @ 6.3% 0-2 @ 3.91% 1-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.18% Total : 25.14%

Exeter3 - 2Forest Green

Data Analysis

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Exeter
3 - 2
Forest Green