League One Gameweek 10
Exeter
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Burton Albion
  • goal Deji Oshilaja 63'
  • goal Davis Keillor-Dunn 69'

Exeter City vs Burton Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Shrewsbury 3 - 2 Exeter
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Sam Nombe

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Burton Albion 0 - 2 Portsmouth
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Victor Adeboyejo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 65.69%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 14.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result

Exeter City 65.69% ▲ (+0.91)
Draw 20.05% ▼ (-0.36)
Burton Albion 14.27% ▼ (-0.55)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.41% ▼ (-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.22% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 2.5 44.78% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 3.5 32.86% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 3.5 67.14% ▼ (-0.42)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 87.2% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 0.5 12.8% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 1.5 60.89% ▲ (+0.82)
Under 1.5 39.11% ▼ (-0.81)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 56.66% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 0.5 43.34% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 1.5 20.42% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 1.5 79.58% ▲ (+0.43)

Score analysis

Exeter City 65.68%
Draw 20.05%
Burton Albion 14.27%
Exeter City
2-0 @ 11.72% ▲ (+0.14)
1-0 @ 11.4% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.8% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 8.03% ▲ (+0.21)
3-1 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.17)
4-1 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.10)
4-2 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 65.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.53% ▼ (-0.18)
0-0 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 20.05%
Burton Albion
0-1 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.16)
1-2 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 14.27%

Head to Head

Pre-Season Friendlies
Exeter
Jul 22, 2016 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Burton Albion
  • Ollie Watkins 56' goal
League Two
Exeter
Dec 6, 2014 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Burton Albion
  • Christian Ribeiro 87' goal
  • goal Jacob Blyth 60'
  • yellowcard Damien McCrory 93'
League Two
Burton Albion
Aug 19, 2014 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Exeter
  • Stuart Beavon 40' goal
  • yellowcard Liam Sercombe 76'
League Two
Burton Albion
Feb 1, 2014 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Exeter
  • Adam McGurk 58' goal
  • yellowcard Arron Davies 12'
  • goal Ian Sharps 56' (OG)
  • yellowcard Danny Butterfield 69'
League Two
Exeter
Oct 26, 2013 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Burton Albion
  • yellowcard Chris Hussey 55'
  • yellowcard Robbie Weir 62'
  • yellowcard Alex MacDonald 71'
  • goal Phil Edwards 88'
League Two
Burton Albion
Feb 23, 2013 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 0
FT
Exeter
  • Michael Symes 11' goal
  • Marcus Holness 27' goal
  • Jacques Maghoma 34' goal
  • Lee Bell 60' goal
  • goal Guillem Bauza 70'
  • goal Scott Bennett 74'

Form Data

Shrewsbury 3 - 2 Exeter
Exeter 1 - 0 MK Dons
Exeter 1 - 2 Newport
Accrington 0 - 0 Exeter
Gillingham 0 - 0 Exeter
Exeter 0 - 1 Cheltenham
Burton Albion 0 - 2 Portsmouth
Oxford Utd 2 - 1 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 4 - 2 Leicester U21s
Cambridge 4 - 3 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 0 - 2 Port Vale
Burton Albion 0 - 1 Ipswich