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Championship header 2

League Two

Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Newport County

Crawley
2 - 1
Newport

Tilley (40'), Nadesan (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moriah-Welsh (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 3-0 Crawley
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-1 Rochdale
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawNewport County
28.52% (-0.055 -0.05)26.29% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)45.18% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 50.69% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.45% (0.030000000000001 0.03)53.54% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.94% (0.026 0.03)75.05% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.36% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)33.64% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.71% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)70.28% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (0.048000000000002 0.05)23.62% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29% (0.067 0.07)57.71% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 28.52%
    Newport County 45.18%
    Draw 26.29%
Crawley TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 8.66% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.71% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 28.52%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 11.46%
1-2 @ 9.01% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.27% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.34% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.98% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.44% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 45.18%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Newport
1-2
Crawley
Waite (59')
Waite (19')
Nadesan (15'), Francillette (21')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Crawley
1-1
Newport
Appiah (55')
Appiah (56'), Nadesan (77')
Telford (84')
Norman (11'), Clarke (74'), Upson (75'), Fisher (88'), Lewis (90+5')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Newport
2-0
Crawley
Shephard (52'), Lewis (90+10')
Hartigan (58'), Sheehan (67')

Davies (17'), Tunnicliffe (83')
Nichols (89')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Crawley
1-1
Newport
Demetriou (32' og.)
Hessenthaler (16'), Hesketh (68')
Allarakhia (59')
Haynes (5')
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Crawley
P-P
Newport
rhs 2.0


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