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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Newport County

Crawley
2 - 1
Newport

Tilley (40'), Nadesan (57')
Nichols (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moriah-Welsh (79')
Bennett (47'), Norman (64'), Moriah-Welsh (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 3-0 Crawley
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-1 Rochdale
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 Newport County

 Neither club has started their individual seasons brightly, and both will be searching for three points this weekend in a bid to start building some momentum. However, the fact that each team is low on confidence is something that could lead to cautious play, resulting in a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawNewport County
28.52% (-0.055 -0.05) 26.29% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 45.18% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 50.69% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.45% (0.030000000000001 0.03)53.54% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.94% (0.026 0.03)75.05% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.36% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)33.64% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.71% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)70.28% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (0.048000000000002 0.05)23.62% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29% (0.067 0.07)57.71% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 28.52%
    Newport County 45.18%
    Draw 26.29%
Crawley TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 8.66% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.71% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 28.52%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 11.46%
1-2 @ 9.01% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.27% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.34% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.98% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.44% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 45.18%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Newport
1-2
Crawley
Waite (59')
Waite (19')
Nadesan (15'), Francillette (21')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Crawley
1-1
Newport
Appiah (55')
Appiah (56'), Nadesan (77')
Telford (84')
Norman (11'), Clarke (74'), Upson (75'), Fisher (88'), Lewis (90+5')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Newport
2-0
Crawley
Shephard (52'), Lewis (90+10')
Hartigan (58'), Sheehan (67')

Davies (17'), Tunnicliffe (83')
Nichols (89')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Crawley
1-1
Newport
Demetriou (32' og.)
Hessenthaler (16'), Hesketh (68')
Allarakhia (59')
Haynes (5')
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Crawley
P-P
Newport
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
23Sutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442
> League Two Full Table


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