League Two
Gameweek
15
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James Tilley
40'
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Ashley Nadesan
57'
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Nathan Moriah-Welsh
79'
Crawley Town vs Newport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result
Crawley Town
28.52%
▼
(-0.06)
Draw
26.29%
▼
(-0.02)
Newport County
45.18%
▲
(+0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
50.69%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.45%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
53.54%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 3.5
24.94%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
75.05%
▼
(-0.03)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5
66.36%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
33.64%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
29.71%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
70.28%
▲
(+0.04)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5
76.38%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
23.62%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
42.29%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
57.71%
▼
(-0.07)
Score analysis
Crawley Town
28.52%
Draw
26.29%
Newport County
45.18%
Crawley Town
1-0
@
8.66%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 28.52%
2-1 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 28.52%
Draw
1-1
@
12.49%
0-0 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.29%
0-0 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.29%
Newport County
0-1
@
11.46%
1-2 @ 9.01% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.27% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 45.18%
1-2 @ 9.01% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.27% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 45.18%
Tom Nichols
89'