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Championship header 2

League Two

Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
Crawley Town

Grimsby Town
3 - 0
Crawley

Glennon (4'), Holohan (52'), Taylor (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-2 Stevenage
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 26.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawCrawley Town
47.76% (0.23999999999999 0.24)25.7% (-0.116 -0.12)26.54% (-0.12 -0.12)
Both teams to score 51.08% (0.252 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.64% (0.377 0.38)52.36% (-0.374 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.95% (0.324 0.32)74.05% (-0.321 -0.32)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.07% (0.265 0.27)21.93% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.79% (0.39899999999999 0.4)55.2% (-0.39599999999999 -0.4)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.42% (0.104 0.1)34.58% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.7% (0.108 0.11)71.3% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 47.76%
    Crawley Town 26.54%
    Draw 25.69%
Grimsby TownDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 11.5% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.73% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.69% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.42% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.034 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.68% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 47.76%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.58% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 8.05% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-2 @ 6.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 26.54%

Head to Head
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Grimsby Town
2-1
Crawley
Morais (21'), Adams (79')
Bunney (69'), Adams (70'), Hewitt (85'), (88'), Bunney (90+3')
Bunney (90+3')
Powell (30')
Wright (32'), Hessenthaler (90')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Crawley
1-2
Grimsby Town
Watters (4')
Powell (78'), Watters (80')
Green (35'), Wright (51')
Hewitt (80')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Crawley
3-2
Grimsby Town
Palmer (16', 69'), Nadesan (77')
Nadesan (58'), Doherty (85')
Whitehouse (21'), Hanson (32')
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Grimsby Town
1-1
Crawley
Hessenthaler (2')
Gibson (25'), Hendrie (59'), Clifton (62')
Nadesan (37')
Lubala (43'), McNerney (93')
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Crawley
2-1
Grimsby Town
Palmer (26', 40')
Palmer (21')
Thomas (6')
Woolford (15'), Embleton (70'), Ohman (79')