League Two

League Two | Gameweek 4

Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Blundell Park

Grimsby Town
1 - 2
Carlisle

Efete (65')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Moxon (7'), Dennis (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-2 Swindon
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Carlisle United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Newport 1-1 Carlisle
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	Carlisle United
39.7% ( -4.25)	27.32% ( 0.31)	32.98% ( 3.94)

Both teams to score 49.5% (

0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.04% (

0.07)

55.96% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.95% (

0.05)

77.06% (

-0.06)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.45% (

-2.23)

27.55% (

2.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.94% (

-2.96)

63.06% (

2.96)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.32% (

2.87)

31.68% (

-2.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.91% (

3.17)

68.09% (

-3.18)

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 39.7%

Carlisle United 32.98%

Draw 27.31%

Grimsby Town	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.76) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.43) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( -1) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.43) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.66) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.22) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.29) Other @ 1.95% Total : 39.7%	1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.31%	0-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.73) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.65) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.83) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.45) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.46) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.86% Total : 32.98%