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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 45.96% | 25.93% | 28.1% |
| Both teams to score 51.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.67% | 52.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.97% | 74.02% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% | 22.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.59% | 56.41% |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.68% | 33.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.06% | 69.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% 2-1 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 8.31% 3-1 @ 4.51% 3-0 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.1% Total : 45.96% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 7.57% 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 8.32% 1-2 @ 6.78% 0-2 @ 4.58% 1-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.43% Total : 28.1% |