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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 34.83% | 27.43% | 37.74% |
| Both teams to score 49.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.87% | 56.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.81% | 77.19% |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.46% | 30.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.23% | 66.76% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.24% | 28.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.4% | 64.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 3.04% 3-0 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.25% Total : 34.83% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.78% 2-2 @ 4.8% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 10.94% 1-2 @ 8.09% 0-2 @ 6.82% 1-3 @ 3.36% 0-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.65% Total : 37.73% |