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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 23.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-0 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Stevenage |
| 23.05% ( | 24.83% ( | 52.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.26% ( | 51.74% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.49% ( | 73.51% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.7% ( | 37.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.92% ( | 74.08% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.16% ( | 19.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.08% ( | 51.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 7.3% ( 2-1 @ 5.82% ( 2-0 @ 3.6% ( 3-1 @ 1.91% ( 3-2 @ 1.55% ( 3-0 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 1.69% Total : 23.05% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 2-2 @ 4.71% ( Other @ 0.92% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 11.96% ( 0-2 @ 9.68% ( 1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0-3 @ 5.22% ( 1-3 @ 5.15% ( 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0-4 @ 2.11% ( 1-4 @ 2.08% ( 2-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.8% Total : 52.11% |