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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 23.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-0 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Stevenage |
23.05% ( -0.11) | 24.83% ( -0.01) | 52.12% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 50.27% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.26% ( -0.06) | 51.74% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.49% ( -0.05) | 73.51% ( 0.05) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.7% ( -0.13) | 37.3% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.92% ( -0.13) | 74.08% ( 0.13) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.16% ( 0.02) | 19.83% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.08% ( 0.04) | 51.92% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.69% Total : 23.05% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.92% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.22% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 52.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 44 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 91 | 44 | 47 | 89 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 44 | 23 | 13 | 8 | 87 | 45 | 42 | 82 |
P | Wrexham | 44 | 24 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 51 | 33 | 82 |
4 | MK Dons | 44 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 74 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 70 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 43 | 18 | 14 | 11 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 68 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 44 | 20 | 6 | 18 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 66 |
8 | Walsall | 44 | 18 | 11 | 15 | 66 | 65 | 1 | 65 |
9 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 43 | 19 | 7 | 17 | 63 | 63 | 0 | 64 |
10 | Gillingham | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 63 |
11 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 |
12 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 44 | 17 | 11 | 16 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 62 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 60 |
14 | Notts County | 44 | 17 | 7 | 20 | 88 | 85 | 3 | 58 |
15 | Morecambe | 44 | 17 | 9 | 18 | 63 | 76 | -13 | 57 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 44 | 16 | 7 | 21 | 61 | 71 | -10 | 55 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 16 | 6 | 22 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 54 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 44 | 15 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 74 | 78 | -4 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 44 | 12 | 11 | 21 | 63 | 80 | -17 | 47 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 10 | 16 | 18 | 55 | 72 | -17 | 46 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 43 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 53 | 78 | -25 | 40 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 41 | 77 | -36 | 36 |
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