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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 35.26% ( | 27.64% ( | 37.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.09% ( | 56.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.18% ( | 77.82% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.34% ( | 30.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.1% ( | 66.91% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.48% ( | 29.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.46% ( | 65.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% ( 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 2-0 @ 6.33% ( 3-1 @ 3.04% ( 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 3-2 @ 1.86% ( Other @ 3.13% Total : 35.26% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0-0 @ 9.05% ( 2-2 @ 4.71% ( Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 11.04% ( 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0-2 @ 6.74% ( 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0-3 @ 2.74% ( 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 1-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.1% |