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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
35.26% ( -2.7) | 27.64% ( -0.06) | 37.1% ( 2.76) |
Both teams to score 48.87% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.09% ( 0.31) | 56.91% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.18% ( 0.25) | 77.82% ( -0.25) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.34% ( -1.5) | 30.66% ( 1.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.1% ( -1.81) | 66.91% ( 1.81) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.48% ( 1.9) | 29.52% ( -1.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.46% ( 2.25) | 65.54% ( -2.25) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.58) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.34) 2-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.63) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.37) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.13% Total : 35.26% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.4) 0-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.6) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.32) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.37) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
2 | Port Vale | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 35 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 31 |
5 | Grimsby Town | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 31 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
7 | MK Dons | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 30 |
8 | Chesterfield | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 28 |
9 | Notts County | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 28 |
10 | Gillingham | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
11 | Bradford CityBradford | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 25 |
12 | Salford City | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 24 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Bromley | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 23 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
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