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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 67.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 12.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 67.51% ( | 19.54% ( | 12.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.58% ( | 45.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.25% ( | 67.75% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.53% ( | 12.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.57% ( | 38.43% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.29% ( | 45.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.51% ( | 81.5% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 2-0 @ 12.35% ( 1-0 @ 11.86% ( 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 3-0 @ 8.57% ( 3-1 @ 6.71% ( 4-0 @ 4.46% ( 4-1 @ 3.49% ( 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 5-0 @ 1.86% ( 5-1 @ 1.45% ( 4-2 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 3.08% Total : 67.5% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 2-2 @ 3.79% ( Other @ 0.76% Total : 19.54% | 0-1 @ 4.46% ( 1-2 @ 3.64% ( 0-2 @ 1.75% ( 2-3 @ 0.99% ( 1-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.18% Total : 12.96% |