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Championship header 2

League Two

Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Mansfield Town

Crewe
1 - 2
Mansfield

Baker-Richardson (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Swan (87'), Hawkins (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two

Mansfield Town

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-0 Mansfield
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 20.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.67%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawMansfield Town
20.38% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)24.52% (0.004999999999999 0)55.1% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.67% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)53.33% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.13% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)74.87% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)40.87% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.56% (0.0010000000000012 0)77.44% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.73% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)19.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49% (-0.012 -0.01)51% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 20.38%
    Mansfield Town 55.08%
    Draw 24.52%
Crewe AlexandraDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 7.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 5.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.28%
3-0 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 20.38%
1-1 @ 11.6%
0-0 @ 7.88% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 24.52%
0-1 @ 12.96%
0-2 @ 10.67%
1-2 @ 9.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 5.86% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 5.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 2.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.16% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 55.08%

How you voted: Crewe vs Mansfield

Crewe Alexandra
47.1%
Draw
23.5%
Mansfield Town
29.4%
17
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Mansfield
P-P
Crewe
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Crewe
1-1
Mansfield
Anene (8')
Cook (27')
MacDonald (83'), Preston (84')
Oct 8, 2019 7.45pm
Mansfield
1-1
Crewe
 Crewe win 4-3 on penalties
Knowles (18')
Cook (27')
Finney (45')
Johnson (30'), Finney (87')
Mar 23, 2019 3pm
Mansfield
1-2
Crewe
Pearce (92')
Mellis (40'), Bishop (50'), Preston (57'), Pearce (59')
Ainley (71', 84')
Ng (35'), Green (50'), Nolan (58'), Taylor-Sinclair (67'), Garratt (93')
Oct 30, 2018 7.45pm
Crewe
0-3
Mansfield

Ray (51'), Ng (55')
Elsnik (8', 35'), Walker (61')