We said: Crewe Alexandra 2-0 Mansfield Town
In what is shaping up to be an entertaining clash, Crewe will likely attack from the off as they look to put a dent in Mansfield's early playoff hopes.
It has been a mixed start for Crewe, but as they begin to pick up form, it is hard to look beyond the hosts for three points this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.67%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.