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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.67%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Mansfield Town |
20.38% ( 0.01) | 24.52% ( 0) | 55.1% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.74% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.67% ( -0.01) | 53.33% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.13% ( -0.01) | 74.87% ( 0.01) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.13% ( 0) | 40.87% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.56% ( 0) | 77.44% ( 0) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.73% ( -0) | 19.27% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49% ( -0.01) | 51% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Mansfield Town |
1-0 @ 7.05% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.19% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.15% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.55% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.28% 3-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.22% Total : 20.38% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.52% | 0-1 @ 12.96% 0-2 @ 10.67% 1-2 @ 9.55% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.86% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.24% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.41% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.16% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.92% Total : 55.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 44 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 91 | 44 | 47 | 89 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 44 | 23 | 13 | 8 | 87 | 45 | 42 | 82 |
P | Wrexham | 44 | 24 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 51 | 33 | 82 |
4 | MK Dons | 44 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 74 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 70 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 43 | 18 | 14 | 11 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 68 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 44 | 20 | 6 | 18 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 66 |
8 | Walsall | 44 | 18 | 11 | 15 | 66 | 65 | 1 | 65 |
9 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 43 | 19 | 7 | 17 | 63 | 63 | 0 | 64 |
10 | Gillingham | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 63 |
11 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 |
12 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 44 | 17 | 11 | 16 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 62 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 60 |
14 | Notts County | 44 | 17 | 7 | 20 | 88 | 85 | 3 | 58 |
15 | Morecambe | 44 | 17 | 9 | 18 | 63 | 76 | -13 | 57 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 44 | 16 | 7 | 21 | 61 | 71 | -10 | 55 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 16 | 6 | 22 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 54 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 44 | 15 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 74 | 78 | -4 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 44 | 12 | 11 | 21 | 63 | 80 | -17 | 47 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 10 | 16 | 18 | 55 | 72 | -17 | 46 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 43 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 53 | 78 | -25 | 40 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 41 | 77 | -36 | 36 |
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