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Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Doncaster Rovers

Crewe
1 - 1
Doncaster

FT(HT: 1-0)
Miller (77')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Doncaster Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawDoncaster Rovers
39.69% (0.751 0.75)27.02% (0.101 0.1)33.29% (-0.85 -0.85)
Both teams to score 50.5% (-0.485 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.27% (-0.536 -0.54)54.73% (0.538 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.95% (-0.447 -0.45)76.05% (0.44800000000001 0.45)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.03% (0.16800000000001 0.17)26.97% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.68% (0.218 0.22)62.32% (-0.216 -0.22)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.15% (-0.822 -0.82)30.85% (0.824 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.87% (-0.977 -0.98)67.13% (0.98 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 39.69%
    Doncaster Rovers 33.29%
    Draw 27.01%
Crewe AlexandraDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 10.9% (0.28 0.28)
2-1 @ 8.4% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.14% (0.213 0.21)
3-1 @ 3.67% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.12% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 39.69%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.32% (0.173 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.01%
0-1 @ 9.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.76% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 33.29%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Doncaster
2-0
Crewe
Rowe (10'), Martin (47')
Rowe (60')

Mandron (60'), Long (83')
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Crewe
1-1
Doncaster
Porter (33')
Olowu (45+4')
Galbraith (45+1'), Williams (56'), Anderson (74'), Smith (81'), Dahlberg (90+4')
Mar 9, 2021 7pm
Crewe
1-0
Doncaster
Mandron (56')
Beckles (43'), Wintle (52'), Lowery (90+4')

James (61'), Robertson (71')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm