League Two

League Two | Gameweek 15

Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
3 - 0
Doncaster

Guy (44'), Stretton (53', 66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Doncaster Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Hartlepool 1-3 Carlisle
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Doncaster 2-4 Barnsley
Tuesday, October 11 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Doncaster Rovers
42.2% ( 0.05)	26.99% ( 0.01)	30.81% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 49.79% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.74% (

-0.06)

55.26% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.52% (

-0.05)

76.48% (

0.05)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.13% (

-0)

25.87% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.15% (

-0)

60.85% (

-0)

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.17% (

-0.08)

32.83% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.6% (

-0.09)

69.4% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 42.2%

Doncaster Rovers 30.81%

Draw 26.99%

Carlisle United	Draw	Doncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 42.2%	1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.99%	0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 30.81%