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Championship header 2

League Two

Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
Carlisle United

Hartlepool
1 - 3
Carlisle

Lacey (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moxon (53'), Patrick (75', 82')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-1 Doncaster
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Crewe
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.98%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawCarlisle United
34.99% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)28.02% (0.013999999999999 0.01)36.98% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Both teams to score 47.7% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.64% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)58.36% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.03% (-0.038 -0.04)78.97% (0.039999999999992 0.04)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.44% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)31.56% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.04% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)67.96% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.7% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)30.3% (0.011999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (-0.012 -0.01)66.48% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 34.99%
    Carlisle United 36.98%
    Draw 28.01%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.45% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.99%
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 9.56% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 11.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.86%
0-2 @ 6.82% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 36.98%

Head to Head
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Carlisle
0-0
Hartlepool

Gibson (89')

Odusina (51')
Aug 31, 2021 7pm
Carlisle
3-3
Hartlepool
Charters (11'), Mampala (59'), Abrahams (78')
Mampala (67')
Daly (18'), Molyneux (81'), Olomola (89' pen.)
Daly (55')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Hartlepool
2-1
Carlisle
Burey (13'), Holohan (69')
Liddle (87')
Clough (38')
Clough (3'), Guy (67')
Apr 14, 2017 3pm
Hartlepool
1-1
Carlisle
Oates (64')
Donnelly (81')
Ibehre (7')
Joyce (19'), Proctor (43'), Ibehre (78'), Devitt (85')
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
Carlisle
3-2
Hartlepool
Ibehre (20'), Grainger (68'), Raynes (79')
Miller (29'), Grainger (63')
Miller (56')
Alessandra (66'), Amond (75')
rhs 2.0


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