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Accrington Stanley
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Carlisle United
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Gillingham
Grimsby Town
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
Carlisle United

Hartlepool
1 - 3
Carlisle

Lacey (43')
Crawford (3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moxon (53'), Patrick (75', 82')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-1 Doncaster
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Crewe
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.98%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawCarlisle United
34.99% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 28.02% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 36.98% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Both teams to score 47.7% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.64% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)58.36% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.03% (-0.038 -0.04)78.97% (0.039999999999992 0.04)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.44% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)31.56% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.04% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)67.96% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.7% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)30.3% (0.011999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (-0.012 -0.01)66.48% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 34.99%
    Carlisle United 36.98%
    Draw 28.01%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.45% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.99%
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 9.56% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 11.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.86%
0-2 @ 6.82% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 36.98%

Head to Head
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Carlisle
0-0
Hartlepool

Gibson (89')

Odusina (51')
Aug 31, 2021 7pm
Carlisle
3-3
Hartlepool
Charters (11'), Mampala (59'), Abrahams (78')
Mampala (67')
Daly (18'), Molyneux (81'), Olomola (89' pen.)
Daly (55')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Hartlepool
2-1
Carlisle
Burey (13'), Holohan (69')
Liddle (87')
Clough (38')
Clough (3'), Guy (67')
Apr 14, 2017 3pm
Hartlepool
1-1
Carlisle
Oates (64')
Donnelly (81')
Ibehre (7')
Joyce (19'), Proctor (43'), Ibehre (78'), Devitt (85')
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
Carlisle
3-2
Hartlepool
Ibehre (20'), Grainger (68'), Raynes (79')
Miller (29'), Grainger (63')
Miller (56')
Alessandra (66'), Amond (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15BarrowBarrow196581818023
16Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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