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Championship header 2

League Two

Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Crewe Alexandra

Carlisle
0 - 0
Crewe

FT
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Crewe Alexandra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-2 Carlisle
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-2 Mansfield
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
47.57% (0.090000000000003 0.09)26.04% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)26.39% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 49.94% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.22% (0.083999999999996 0.08)53.78% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.74% (0.071000000000002 0.07)75.25% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.39% (0.075999999999993 0.08)22.61% (-0.075999999999997 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.77% (0.114 0.11)56.22% (-0.114 -0.11)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.54% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)35.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.77% (-0.004999999999999 -0)72.22% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 47.57%
    Crewe Alexandra 26.39%
    Draw 26.03%
Carlisle UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 11.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.86% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.55% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.39% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.69% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 47.57%
1-1 @ 12.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.02% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.31% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 26.39%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Crewe
4-1
Carlisle
Ainley (17'), Powell (26', 31'), Anene (34')
Dale (72')
Iredale (56')
Sagaf (24'), Loft (30')
Oct 12, 2019 3pm
Carlisle
2-4
Crewe
Hope (59'), Elliott (64')
Hunt (7'), Powell (27'), Porter (78'), Gethin (85' og.)
Nolan (86')
Feb 12, 2019 7.45pm
Crewe
2-1
Carlisle
Porter (3'), Miller (73')
Ng (31'), Ray (44')
Miller (29')
O'Hare (34'), Hope (65'), Grainger (72'), Cullen (92')
Devitt (18')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Crewe
0-1
Carlisle

Nolan (29'), Hunt (61')
Devitt (90')
Bennett (18'), Devitt (83'), Yates (84'), Gerrard (90')
Aug 25, 2018 3pm
Carlisle
1-0
Crewe
Nadesan (69')

Ng (47')
rhs 2.0


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