League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Brunton Park

Carlisle United vs Crewe Alexandra - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Grimsby Town 1 - 2 Carlisle
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Kristian Dennis

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last game
Sep 24, 2022 3.00pm
Crewe 1 - 2 Mansfield
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Dan Agyei

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result

Carlisle United 47.57% (+0.10)
Draw 26.04% (-0.04)
Crewe Alexandra 26.39% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.94% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.22% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 53.78% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 24.74% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 75.25% (-0.08)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 77.39% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 22.61% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 43.77% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 56.22% (-0.12)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5 64.54% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 35.46% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 27.77% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 72.22% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Carlisle United 47.57%
Draw 26.03%
Crewe Alexandra 26.39%
Carlisle United
1-0 @ 11.92% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.19% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.86% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.55% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.39% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.36% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.69% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 47.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.35% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.02% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.76% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.03%
Crewe Alexandra
0-1 @ 8.31% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 26.39%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2020 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Callum Ainley 17' goal
  • Daniel Powell 26' goal
  • Daniel Powell 31' goal
  • Chuma Anene 34' goal
  • Owen Dale 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mohammed Sagaf 24'
  • yellowcard Ryan Loft 30'
  • goal Jack Iredale 56'
League Two Gameweek 13
Oct 12, 2019 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Hallam Hope 59' goal
  • Christie Elliott 64' goal
  • goal Nicky Hunt 7'
  • goal Daniel Powell 27'
  • goal Chris Porter 78'
  • goal Jones Gethin 85' (OG)
  • yellowcard Eddie Nolan 86'
League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 12, 2019 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Alexandra Stadium (Crewe, Cheshire)
  • Chris Porter 3' goal
  • Perry Ng 31' yellowcard
  • George Ray 44' yellowcard
  • Shaun Miller 73' goal
  • redcard Jamie Devitt 18'
  • goal Gary Miller 29'
  • yellowcard Callum O'Hare 34'
  • yellowcard Hallam Hope 65'
  • yellowcard Danny Grainger 72'
  • yellowcard Mark Cullen 92'
FA Cup
Nov 10, 2018 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Eddie Nolan 29' yellowcard
  • Nicky Hunt 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richie Bennett 18'
  • yellowcard Jamie Devitt 83'
  • yellowcard Jerry Yates 84'
  • goal Jamie Devitt 90'
  • yellowcard Anthony Gerrard 90'
League Two Gameweek 5
Aug 25, 2018 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Brunton Park (Carlisle, Cumbria)
  • Ashley Nadesan 69' goal
  • yellowcard Perry Ng 47'
League Two
Jan 13, 2018 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sam Cosgrove 78' goal
  • Richie Bennett 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brad Walker 74'
  • yellowcard Michael Raynes 75'