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Carlisle United
FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 29, 2020 at 1.30pm UK
Brunton Park
Doncaster Rovers

Carlisle
1 - 2
Doncaster

Mellish (78')
Kayode (43')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Whiteman (32', 40')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round clash between Carlisle United and Doncaster Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Doncaster Rovers in this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawDoncaster Rovers
29.28%24.35%46.37%
Both teams to score 57.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.05%44.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.7%67.3%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36%28.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.55%64.45%
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.49%19.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.61%51.39%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 29.28%
    Doncaster Rovers 46.37%
    Draw 24.34%
Carlisle UnitedDrawDoncaster Rovers
2-1 @ 7.14%
1-0 @ 6.99%
2-0 @ 4.37%
3-1 @ 2.98%
3-2 @ 2.43%
3-0 @ 1.82%
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 29.28%
1-1 @ 11.41%
2-2 @ 5.83%
0-0 @ 5.59%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.34%
1-2 @ 9.33%
0-1 @ 9.13%
0-2 @ 7.46%
1-3 @ 5.08%
0-3 @ 4.07%
2-3 @ 3.18%
1-4 @ 2.08%
0-4 @ 1.66%
2-4 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 46.37%

Head to Head
Feb 14, 2017 7.45pm
Carlisle
2-1
Doncaster
Adams (34'), Mason (85' og.)
Joyce (18'), Gillesphey (55')
Rowe (90')
Blair (56'), Lawlor (82')
Sep 27, 2016 7.45pm
Doncaster
2-2
Carlisle
Rowe (18'), Marquis (44')
Marquis (93')
Miller (15'), Ibehre (79')
Grainger (49')
Apr 9, 2013 7.45pm
Doncaster
0-2
Carlisle

Furman (37'), Spurr (72'), Griffin (78')
Noble (35', 86')
Noble (45')
Nov 20, 2012 7.45pm
Feb 23, 2008 3pm
Carlisle
1-0
Doncaster
Graham (40')
Hackney (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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