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Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Prenton Park
Crewe Alexandra

Tranmere
3 - 0
Crewe

Simeu (22'), Nevitt (56', 90')
Merrie (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 1-1 Gillingham
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-0 Crewe Alexandra

With Tranmere on such an impressive run of form, it is difficult to see past them making it five consecutive wins on Friday. Crewe will not make it easy for them however, having taken decent points away at Carlisle United and Bradford City, and so we expect Tranmere to win by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 21.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawCrewe Alexandra
53.27% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 24.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 21.76% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 48.32% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.48% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)53.52% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.96% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)75.03% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.93% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)20.07% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.7% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)52.3% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.45% (-0.11 -0.11)39.55% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.77% (-0.101 -0.1)76.23% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 53.26%
    Crewe Alexandra 21.76%
    Draw 24.96%
Tranmere RoversDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 12.74% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.23% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 5.48% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 53.26%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 7.94% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 21.76%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Crewe

Tranmere Rovers
81.3%
Draw
4.2%
Crewe Alexandra
14.6%
48
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2019 7.45pm
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Crewe
3-2
Tranmere
Ainley (20', 51'), Kirk (67')
Norwood (36'), Banks (83')
Mullin (79'), Banks (89'), Norwood (89')
Sep 4, 2018 7.45pm
Tranmere
3-4
Crewe
Harris (45'), Stockton (45'), Mullin (46')
Gilmour (80'), Jennings (90')
Porter (20', 85'), Nicholls (73'), Jones (86')
Ray (79')
Jan 25, 2014 3pm
Tranmere
1-0
Crewe
Pennington (28')
Kennedy (36'), Koumas (83')

Evans (37'), Mellor (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514


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