League Two

League Two | Gameweek 15

Oct 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Prenton Park

Tranmere
3 - 0
Crewe

Simeu (22'), Nevitt (56', 90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Sutton 0-2 Tranmere
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

Last Game: Crewe 1-1 Gillingham
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 21.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.

Result
Tranmere Rovers	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
53.27% ( 0.05)	24.96% ( 0.01)	21.76% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 48.32% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.48% (

-0.09)

53.52% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.96% (

-0.08)

75.03% (

0.07)

Tranmere Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.93% (

-0.02)

20.07% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.7% (

-0.03)

52.3% (

0.02)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.45% (

-0.11)

39.55% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.77% (

-0.1)

76.23% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Tranmere Rovers 53.26%

Crewe Alexandra 21.76%

Draw 24.96%

Tranmere Rovers	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 12.74% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 53.26%	1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.38% Total : 21.76%