Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 73.1%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 11.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 3-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Leeds United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.