Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 79.46%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 8.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.85%) and 2-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.74%), while for a Stoke City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Leeds United Under-21s	Draw	Stoke City Under-21s
79.46% ( 0.25)	11.95% ( -0.1)	8.58% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 62.1% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

79.73% (

0.03)

20.27% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

61.52% (

0.04)

38.48% (

-0.03)

Leeds United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.99% (

0.04)

4.01% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

83.1% (

0.13)

16.9% (

-0.12)

Stoke City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.69% (

-0.27)

35.31% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.93% (

-0.28)

72.07% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Leeds United Under-21s 79.46%

Stoke City Under-21s 8.58%

Draw 11.95%

Leeds United Under-21s	Draw	Stoke City Under-21s
3-1 @ 8.17% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 4.55% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 2.2% ( -0) 6-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 6-2 @ 1.18% ( 0) 7-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.02% Total : 79.46%	1-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 0.35% Total : 11.95%	1-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.27% Total : 8.58%