Premier League 2 - Div 2
Sep 30, 2022 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Mateo Fernandez 14' goal
  • Mateo Fernandez 19' goal
  • Sonny Perkins 43' goal
  • Mateo Fernandez 83' goal

Leeds United Under-21s vs Stoke City Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Sep 16, 2022 7.00pm
Leeds U21s 6 - 2 Saints U21s
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Mateo Fernandez

Stoke City Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Sep 18, 2022 2.00pm
Stoke U21s 3 - 3 Aston Villa U21s
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Dara McGuinness

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 79.46%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 8.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.85%) and 2-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.74%), while for a Stoke City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-21s would win this match.

Result

Leeds United Under-21s 79.46% (+0.26)
Draw 11.95% (-0.11)
Stoke City Under-21s 8.58% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.1% (-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 79.73% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 20.27% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 61.52% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 38.48% (-0.04)

Leeds United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 95.99% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 4.01% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 83.1% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 16.9% (-0.13)

Stoke City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 64.69% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 35.31% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 27.93% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 72.07% (+0.29)

Score analysis

Leeds United Under-21s 79.46%
Draw 11.95%
Stoke City Under-21s 8.58%
Leeds United Under-21s
3-1 @ 8.17% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.85% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.32% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 6.57% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 6.32% (+0.07)
1-0 @ 4.55% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.26% (-0.04)
5-1 @ 4.23% (+0.03)
5-0 @ 4.06% (+0.06)
4-2 @ 3.42% (-0.02)
6-1 @ 2.27% (+0.02)
5-2 @ 2.2% (-0.01)
6-0 @ 2.18% (+0.04)
4-3 @ 1.19% (-0.02)
6-2 @ 1.18% (+0.01)
7-1 @ 1.04% (+0.02)
7-0 @ 1% (-97.20)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 79.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.74% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 1.42% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 11.95%
Stoke City Under-21s
1-2 @ 2.47% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 1.47% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 8.58%