Premier League 2 - Div 2
Aug 29, 2022 at 1pm UK
Thorp Arch Grange

Leeds U21s
5 - 1
Forest U21s

Allen (45+3'), Gyabi (50'), Perkins (68'), McCalmont (73'), Dean (90+3')
Gray (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Esapa Osong (11')
Powell (86')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Leeds United Under-21s and Nottingham Forest Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United Under-21s

Last Six:
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 1-2 Leeds U21s
Friday, August 19 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Nottingham Forest Under-21s

Last Six:
Last Game: Forest U21s 1-4 Boro U21s
Monday, August 22 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 58.47%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 21.98% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.1%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Leeds United Under-21sDrawNottingham Forest Under-21s
58.47% (-1.278 -1.28)19.55% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)21.98% (1.351 1.35)
Both teams to score 67.21% (2.476 2.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.12% (2.262 2.26)28.88% (-2.255 -2.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.18% (2.725 2.72)49.82% (-2.718 -2.72)
Leeds United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.06% (0.372 0.37)9.94% (-0.365 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.12% (0.84399999999999 0.84)32.88% (-0.837 -0.84)
Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.62% (2.456 2.46)25.38% (-2.449 -2.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.82% (3.249 3.25)60.18% (-3.243 -3.24)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United Under-21s 58.47%
    Nottingham Forest Under-21s 21.98%
    Draw 19.55%
Leeds United Under-21sDrawNottingham Forest Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.254 -0.25)
3-1 @ 7.1% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.72% (-0.683 -0.68)
1-0 @ 5.82% (-0.693 -0.69)
3-0 @ 5.17% (-0.436 -0.44)
3-2 @ 4.87% (0.275 0.28)
4-1 @ 4.1% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.99% (-0.201 -0.2)
4-2 @ 2.81% (0.2 0.2)
5-1 @ 1.89% (0.038 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.38% (-0.07 -0.07)
5-2 @ 1.3% (0.112 0.11)
4-3 @ 1.28% (0.172 0.17)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 58.47%
1-1 @ 7.98% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.262 0.26)
0-0 @ 2.52% (-0.345 -0.35)
3-3 @ 2.22% (0.267 0.27)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 19.55%
1-2 @ 5.47% (0.143 0.14)
0-1 @ 3.46% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.306 0.31)
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.229 0.23)
0-2 @ 2.37% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.084 0.08)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.164 0.16)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 21.98%