Premier League 2 - Div 2
Aug 26, 2022 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Heritage Park
  • Matthew Hoppe 27' goal
  • Matthew Hoppe 56' goal
  • Caolan Boyd-Munce 88' goal
  • Luke Badley-Morgan 90'+1' goal
  • goal Dara McGuinness 24'
  • yellowcard Sonny Singh 87'

Middlesbrough Under-21s vs Stoke City Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Aug 22, 2022 7.00pm
Forest U21s 1 - 4 Boro U21s
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Calum Kavanagh

Stoke City Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Aug 19, 2022 7.00pm
Stoke U21s 0 - 3 Saints U21s
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Dara McGuinness

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 52.76%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-21s would win this match.

Result

Middlesbrough Under-21s 52.76% (-0.20)
Draw 22.47% (-0.04)
Stoke City Under-21s 24.77% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.96% (+0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.15% (+0.39)
Under 2.5 39.85% (-0.39)
Over 3.5 37.79% (+0.40)
Under 3.5 62.21% (-0.41)

Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 84.81% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 15.18% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 56.19% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 43.8% (-0.14)

Stoke City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 70.69% (+0.40)
Under 0.5 29.31% (-0.40)
Over 1.5 34.72% (+0.48)
Under 1.5 65.28% (-0.48)

Score analysis

Middlesbrough Under-21s 52.76%
Draw 22.47%
Stoke City Under-21s 24.77%
Middlesbrough Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.39% (-0.14)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 6.1% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.97% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.74% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 2.87% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.34% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.76% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 52.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.29% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.95% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.45% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.53% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.47%
Stoke City Under-21s
1-2 @ 6.32% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 5.46% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.35% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.58% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.44% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.37% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 24.77%