Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 52.76%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough Under-21s	Draw	Stoke City Under-21s
52.76% ( -0.2)	22.47% ( -0.04)	24.77% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 59.96% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.15% (

0.39)

39.85% (

-0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.79% (

0.4)

62.21% (

-0.4)

Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.81% (

0.07)

15.18% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.19% (

0.13)

43.8% (

-0.13)

Stoke City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.69% (

0.39)

29.31% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.72% (

0.48)

65.28% (

-0.48)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough Under-21s 52.76%

Stoke City Under-21s 24.77%

Draw 22.47%

Middlesbrough Under-21s	Draw	Stoke City Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.9% Total : 52.76%	1-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.47%	1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.25% Total : 24.77%