Premier League 2 - Div 2
Aug 12, 2022 at 7pm UK
Heritage Park

Boro U21s
3 - 1
Derby U21s

Fletcher (1'), Sivi (65'), Howells (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nunn (3')
Grewal-Pollard (46')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Middlesbrough Under-21s and Derby County Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough Under-21s

Last Six:
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 3-3 Boro U21s
Friday, August 5 at 6pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Derby County Under-21s

Last Six:
Last Game: Derby U21s 2-5 Leeds U21s
Friday, August 5 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
43.33%23.13%33.54%
Both teams to score 63.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.7%37.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.49%59.51%
Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.31%17.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.66%48.34%
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72%22.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.26%55.74%
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough Under-21s 43.33%
    Derby County Under-21s 33.54%
    Draw 23.13%
Middlesbrough Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.88%
1-0 @ 6.83%
2-0 @ 5.91%
3-1 @ 5.13%
3-2 @ 3.85%
3-0 @ 3.41%
4-1 @ 2.22%
4-2 @ 1.67%
4-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 43.33%
1-1 @ 10.25%
2-2 @ 6.67%
0-0 @ 3.94%
3-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.13%
1-2 @ 7.7%
0-1 @ 5.92%
0-2 @ 4.44%
1-3 @ 3.85%
2-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 2.22%
1-4 @ 1.45%
2-4 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 33.54%