Premier League 2 - Div 2
Aug 12, 2022 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Heritage Park
  • Isaac Fletcher 1' goal
  • Jeremie Sivi 65' goal
  • Max Howells 87' goal
  • goal George Nunn 3'
  • yellowcard Will Grewal-Pollard 46'

Middlesbrough Under-21s vs Derby County Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Aug 5, 2022 6.00pm
Aston Villa U21s 3 - 3 Boro U21s
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Calum Kavanagh

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Aug 5, 2022 7.00pm
Derby U21s 2 - 5 Leeds U21s
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Osazee Aghatise

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-21s would win this match.

Result

Middlesbrough Under-21s 43.33%
Draw 23.13%
Derby County Under-21s 33.54%

Both Teams to Score: 

63.97%

Goals

Over 2.5 62.7%
Under 2.5 37.3%
Over 3.5 40.49%
Under 3.5 59.51%

Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 82.31%
Under 0.5 17.69%
Over 1.5 51.66%
Under 1.5 48.34%

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 77.72%
Under 0.5 22.28%
Over 1.5 44.26%
Under 1.5 55.74%

Score analysis

Middlesbrough Under-21s 43.33%
Draw 23.13%
Derby County Under-21s 33.54%
Middlesbrough Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.88%
1-0 @ 6.83%
2-0 @ 5.91%
3-1 @ 5.13%
3-2 @ 3.85%
3-0 @ 3.41%
4-1 @ 2.22%
4-2 @ 1.67%
4-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 43.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.25%
2-2 @ 6.67%
0-0 @ 3.94%
3-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.13%
Derby County Under-21s
1-2 @ 7.7%
0-1 @ 5.92%
0-2 @ 4.44%
1-3 @ 3.85%
2-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 2.22%
1-4 @ 1.45%
2-4 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 33.54%