Crewe Alexandra
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 18, 2022 at 7pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Tranmere Rovers

Crewe
0 - 1
Tranmere

FT(HT: 0-0)
Nevitt (71')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Crewe Alexandra and Tranmere Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Tranmere 3-0 Crewe
Friday, October 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Tranmere 3-0 Crewe
Friday, October 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawTranmere Rovers
27.25% (-0.998 -1)25.62% (-0.111 -0.11)47.13% (1.11 1.11)
Both teams to score 51.86% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.39% (-0.136 -0.14)51.61% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.6% (-0.117 -0.12)73.4% (0.12 0.12)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.4% (-0.84599999999999 -0.85)33.6% (0.848 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.75% (-0.935 -0.94)70.25% (0.93600000000001 0.94)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1% (0.446 0.45)21.9% (-0.444 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.84% (0.67100000000001 0.67)55.16% (-0.669 -0.67)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 27.25%
    Tranmere Rovers 47.12%
    Draw 25.62%
Crewe AlexandraDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 8.03% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-1 @ 6.65% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-0 @ 4.38% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-1 @ 2.42% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 27.25%
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.36% (0.04 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 11.17% (0.21 0.21)
1-2 @ 9.26% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 8.49% (0.269 0.27)
1-3 @ 4.69% (0.104 0.1)
0-3 @ 4.3% (0.191 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.062 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.63% (0.093 0.09)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 47.12%

Head to Head
Oct 14, 2022 7.45pm
Tranmere
3-0
Crewe
Simeu (22'), Nevitt (56', 90')
Merrie (52')
Mar 8, 2019 7.45pm
Tranmere
1-0
Crewe
Norwood (72')
Perkins (25'), Jennings (69')
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Crewe
3-2
Tranmere
Ainley (20', 51'), Kirk (67')
Norwood (36'), Banks (83')
Mullin (79'), Banks (89'), Norwood (89')
Sep 4, 2018 7.45pm
Tranmere
3-4
Crewe
Harris (45'), Stockton (45'), Mullin (46')
Gilmour (80'), Jennings (90')
Porter (20', 85'), Nicholls (73'), Jones (86')
Ray (79')
Sep 4, 2018
7.45pm
Tranmere  
vs.
  Crewe