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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Stevenage

Gillingham
1 - 1
Stevenage

Baggott (40')
Adelakun (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rose (28')
Rose (39'), Roberts (55'), Earley (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 2-0 Swindon
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 0-2 Stevenage

Gillingham have been playing well as of late, despite their league positioning, and that is something that could lead to them causing problems on Sunday. However, even with the confidence that the hosts have, Saturday will likely prove to be a difficult test for them against a team proving to be dominant right now. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawStevenage
29.43% (-0.029 -0.03) 27.16% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 43.41% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.63% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.56% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)56.44% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.55% (-0.029 -0.03)77.45% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)34.48% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.81% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)71.19% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)25.79% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.26% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)60.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 29.43%
    Stevenage 43.4%
    Draw 27.16%
GillinghamDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.83% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 2.43% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.79% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 29.43%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 8.89% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.16%
0-1 @ 12.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-2 @ 8.17% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.33%
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 43.4%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Stevenage

Gillingham
10.0%
Draw
0.0%
Stevenage
90.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2014 7.45pm
Stevenage
0-1
Gillingham

Day (17'), Henry (19')
Norris (17' pen.)
Dack (93')
Hoyte (64')
Feb 4, 2014 7.45pm
Stevenage
3-1
Gillingham
Zoko (22' pen.), Charles (30', 59')
Jones (49'), Charles (87')
McDonald (56')
Gregory (70'), Smith (79')
Hewitt (21')
Nov 26, 2013 7.45pm
Gillingham
3-2
Stevenage
Kedwell (47' pen.), Daniels (52'), Mousinho (76')
Heslop (37'), Zoko (60')
Hartley (84')
Feb 1, 2011 3pm
Stevenage
2-2
Gillingham

Beardsley (18'), Foster (90')
Akinfenwa (50'), McDonald (45')
Gowling (27'), Maher (45'), Lawrence (89')
Jan 1, 2011 3pm
Gillingham
1-0
Stevenage
Akinfenwa (38')
Spiller (90')

Beardsley (3'), Foster (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514


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