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Championship header 2

League Two

Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Stevenage

Gillingham
1 - 1
Stevenage

Baggott (40')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rose (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Colchester (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Stevenage

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 2-0 Swindon
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawStevenage
29.43% (-0.029 -0.03)27.16% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)43.41% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.63% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.56% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)56.44% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.55% (-0.029 -0.03)77.45% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)34.48% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.81% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)71.19% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)25.79% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.26% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)60.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 29.43%
    Stevenage 43.4%
    Draw 27.16%
GillinghamDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.83% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 2.43% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.79% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 29.43%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 8.89% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.16%
0-1 @ 12.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-2 @ 8.17% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.33%
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 43.4%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Stevenage

Gillingham
10.0%
Draw
0.0%
Stevenage
90.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2014 7.45pm
Stevenage
0-1
Gillingham

Day (17'), Henry (19')
Norris (17' pen.)
Dack (93')
Hoyte (64')
Feb 4, 2014 7.45pm
Stevenage
3-1
Gillingham
Zoko (22' pen.), Charles (30', 59')
Jones (49'), Charles (87')
McDonald (56')
Gregory (70'), Smith (79')
Hewitt (21')
> Match Report
Nov 26, 2013 7.45pm
Gillingham
3-2
Stevenage
Kedwell (47' pen.), Daniels (52'), Mousinho (76')
Heslop (37'), Zoko (60')
Hartley (84')
Feb 1, 2011 3pm
Stevenage
2-2
Gillingham

Beardsley (18'), Foster (90')
Akinfenwa (50'), McDonald (45')
Gowling (27'), Maher (45'), Lawrence (89')
Jan 1, 2011 3pm
Gillingham
1-0
Stevenage
Akinfenwa (38')
Spiller (90')

Beardsley (3'), Foster (45')
rhs 2.0


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