EFL Trophy
Oct 4, 2022 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT MEMS Priestfield Stadium
  • Lewis Walker 19' goal
  • Lewis Walker 71' goal
  • Will Wright 76' goal
  • goal Evan Ferguson 31'
  • goal Todd Miller 63'

Gillingham vs Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Aug 31, 2022 7.00pm
Charlton 3 - 0 Gillingham

Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 6, 2022 7.45pm
Colchester 2 - 1 Brighton U21s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result

Gillingham 43.52% (+0.84)
Draw 24.13% (+0.14)
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s 32.35% (-0.98)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.82% (-0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.46% (-0.98)
Under 2.5 42.54% (+0.98)
Over 3.5 35.05% (-0.99)
Under 3.5 64.95% (+0.99)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5 80.25% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 19.75% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 48.22% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 51.78% (+0.07)

Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 74.54% (-1.05)
Under 0.5 25.46% (+1.05)
Over 1.5 39.71% (-1.46)
Under 1.5 60.29% (+1.46)

Score analysis

Gillingham 43.52%
Draw 24.13%
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s 32.35%
Gillingham
2-1 @ 9.05% (+0.11)
1-0 @ 8.16% (+0.35)
2-0 @ 6.62% (+0.27)
3-1 @ 4.89% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.58% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.98% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.45% (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 43.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.15% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.12)
0-0 @ 5.03% (+0.22)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.13%
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.14)
0-1 @ 6.88% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 4.71% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.18)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.15)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.11)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.10)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 32.35%