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Championship header 2

League Two

Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Northampton Town

Stevenage
2 - 3
Northampton

Rose (35'), Gilbey (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Appere (1' pen.), Bowie (82'), McWilliams (87')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Stevenage and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Spurs U21s
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Northampton Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-3 Arsenal U21s
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 44.9%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
StevenageDrawNorthampton Town
44.9% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)28.13%26.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 44.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.06% (0.0040000000000049 0)60.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)80.94% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.9% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)27.09% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.52%62.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.09% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)38.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.36% (0.004999999999999 0)75.63% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 44.89%
    Northampton Town 26.96%
    Draw 28.13%
StevenageDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 13.76%
2-0 @ 8.99% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.28%
4-1 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 44.89%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 10.54%
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 9.95%
1-2 @ 6.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 1.48%
2-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 26.96%

Head to Head
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Stevenage
1-2
Northampton
Lines (82')
McGowan (18'), Pinnock (50')
Hoskins (68'), Rose (78')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Northampton
3-0
Stevenage
Etete (34'), Hoskins (43'), Horsfall (63')
Lewis (88')

Reeves (12'), Vancooten (54'), Reid (56'), Coker (73')
Nov 17, 2020 7pm
Northampton
0-0
Stevenage
 Northampton win 4-2 on penalties

Iontton (60')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Northampton
1-0
Stevenage
Williams (94')
Harriman (40'), Anderson (45'), Hoskins (57'), Wharton (78')

Timlin (28'), Soares (51'), List (74'), Nugent (81')
Sep 17, 2019 7.45pm
Stevenage
0-1
Northampton

Stokes (21'), Wildin (41'), Farman (67')
Smith (56')
Turnbull (25'), Goode (38'), McWilliams (64'), Smith (67'), Oliver (80')
Smith (68')