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Championship header 2

League Two

Northampton Town
League Two | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Sixfields
Salford City

Northampton
0 - 1
Salford City

FT(HT: 0-1)
Galbraith (45+1')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Salford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-0 Northampton
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in League Two

Salford City

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Salford City in this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawSalford City
35.04% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)26.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02)38.24% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.75% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72% (-0.07 -0.07)53.27% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (-0.061 -0.06)74.83% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)29% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.1% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)64.9% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.89% (-0.012 -0.01)27.1% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.51% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)62.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 35.04%
    Salford City 38.24%
    Draw 26.71%
Northampton TownDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.02% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.24% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 35.04%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.86% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 10.26% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.29% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.7% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.61%
0-3 @ 2.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 38.24%

Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Northampton
1-0
Salford City
Lewis (12')

Lowe (35'), Ndaba (66')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Salford City
2-2
Northampton
Lund (24'), Eastham (90+3')
Hunter (8'), Lowe (90')
Lewis (16'), Pinnock (77')
Rose (45+2')
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Salford City
1-2
Northampton
Baldwin (20')
Thomas-Asante (22'), Baldwin (67')
Hoskins (29'), Williams (63')
Hoskins (46'), Lines (69'), Cornell (85'), Turnbull (95')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Northampton
2-0
Salford City
Hoskins (35' pen.), Turnbull (66')
McCormack (41'), Harriman (47'), Wharton (61'), Waters (75')

Burgess (35'), Jones (42')