Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.