Northampton Town
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 18, 2022 at 7pm UK
Sixfields

Northampton
1 - 3
Arsenal U21s

FT(HT: 1-0)
Awe (56'), Cozier-Duberry (74'), Butler-Oyedeji (90+5')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Northampton Town and Arsenal Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs U21s 0-0 Arsenal U21s
Saturday, October 8 at 11am in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawArsenal Under-21s
42.22% (0.0059999999999931 0.01)24.6% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)33.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.49% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.22% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)21.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.06% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)53.94% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.14% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)25.86% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.83%
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 42.22%
    Arsenal Under-21s 33.18%
    Draw 24.59%
Northampton TownDrawArsenal Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 6.6%
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.8%
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 42.22%
1-1 @ 11.48%
2-2 @ 6.04%
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.59%
1-2 @ 7.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 7.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.5%
2-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.18%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 33.18%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2019 7.30pm
Northampton
1-1
Arsenal U21s
Northampton win 4-3 on penalties
Hoskins (82')
Hoskins (40'), Bunney (69')
Olayinka (78')
Omole (36'), Olowu (64')
Omole (61')
rhs 2.0


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