Cambridge United
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 30, 2022 at 7pm UK
Abbey Stadium

Cambridge
0 - 2
Arsenal U21s


Lankester (12')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Butler-Oyedeji (26', 57')
Akinola (31')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Cambridge United and Arsenal Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 37.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.93%) and 0-2 (5.41%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawArsenal Under-21s
37.95% (4.195 4.2)23.79% (-0.122 -0.12)38.25% (-4.069 -4.07)
Both teams to score 62.28% (1.15 1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.18% (1.219 1.22)39.82% (-1.216 -1.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.83% (1.255 1.26)62.17% (-1.25 -1.25)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.85% (2.768 2.77)21.15% (-2.763 -2.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.99% (4.121 4.12)54.01% (-4.117 -4.12)
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (-1.357 -1.36)21.01% (1.361 1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.22% (-2.163 -2.16)53.78% (2.167 2.17)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 37.95%
    Arsenal Under-21s 38.25%
    Draw 23.78%
Cambridge UnitedDrawArsenal Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.541 0.54)
1-0 @ 6.9% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 5.36% (0.553 0.55)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.601 0.6)
3-2 @ 3.38% (0.344 0.34)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.483 0.48)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.347 0.35)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.227 0.23)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.258 0.26)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 37.95%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 6.53% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 4.44% (-0.255 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.76% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 8.4% (-0.497 -0.5)
0-1 @ 6.93% (-0.713 -0.71)
0-2 @ 5.41% (-0.812 -0.81)
1-3 @ 4.37% (-0.457 -0.46)
2-3 @ 3.4% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.562 -0.56)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.259 -0.26)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.275 -0.28)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 38.25%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2019 7.30pm
Cambridge
1-1
Arsenal U21s
Arsenal U21s win 4-3 on penalties
Knibbs (40')
O'Neil (32'), Darling (90')
O'Neil (50')