Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yeovil Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Gateshead |
| 42.59% ( | 25.7% ( | 31.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.25% ( | 49.75% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.24% ( | 71.75% ( |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.78% ( | 23.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.88% ( | 57.12% ( |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.6% ( | 29.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.61% ( | 65.39% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Gateshead |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% ( 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 3-1 @ 4.34% ( 3-0 @ 3.54% ( 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 4-2 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 42.59% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.36% ( 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0-2 @ 5.12% ( 1-3 @ 3.05% ( 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 1-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.71% |