Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yeovil Town would win this match.