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National League | Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Bootham Crescent
Southend United

York City
0 - 2
Southend

FT(HT: 0-1)
Scott-Morriss (6'), Hobson (61')
Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Southend United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: York City 1-1 Chesterfield
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Maidstone 0-3 Southend
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for York City had a probability of 22.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a York City win it was 1-0 (7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.

Result
York CityDrawSouthend United
22.84% (0.032 0.03)24.42% (0.016000000000002 0.02)52.74% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.27% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.71% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)50.29% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.76% (-0.029 -0.03)72.24% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.31% (0.013000000000005 0.01)36.68% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)73.47% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.97% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)19.02% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.4% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)50.59% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Score Analysis
    York City 22.84%
    Southend United 52.74%
    Draw 24.41%
York CityDrawSouthend United
1-0 @ 7% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.62%
3-0 @ 1.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 22.84%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.83%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 11.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.64% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-2 @ 9.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.32% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.21% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 52.74%

Head to Head
Jan 31, 2015 3pm
Sep 20, 2014 3pm
York City
2-3
Southend
Penn (45'), Winfield (85')
Hyde (25')
Weston (9' pen.), Hurst (52'), Payne (78')
Deegan (45'), Thompson (58'), Williams (89')
Feb 22, 2014 3pm
Nov 23, 2013 3pm
Southend
2-1
York City
Hurst (6'), Prosser (92')
Hurst (7'), Kiernan (47')
Hurst (58')
Bowman (56')
Montrose (40'), Whitehouse (62')
Bowman (86')
Apr 20, 2013 3pm
York City
2-1
Southend
Reed (1'), Blair (41')
Reed (36'), Platt (73')
Leonard (22')
Cresswell (90')