Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for York City had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a York City win it was 1-0 (7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.