Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for York City had a probability of 17.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.93%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a York City win it was 1-0 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Chesterfield |
17.76% ( -0.01) | 22.25% ( -0.05) | 60% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.17% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.19% ( 0.19) | 47.81% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.01% ( 0.17) | 69.99% ( -0.18) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.39% ( 0.1) | 40.61% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.8% ( 0.09) | 77.2% ( -0.09) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.48% ( 0.08) | 15.52% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.56% ( 0.15) | 44.44% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.77% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.76% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 22.25% | 0-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 10.93% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.12% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.85% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 59.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 32 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Fylde | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 46 | -31 | 9 |
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