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National League | Gameweek 16
Oct 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Bootham Crescent
Chesterfield

York City
1 - 1
Chesterfield

Hancox (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
King (9')
Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Chesterfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aldershot 2-1 York City
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Bromley
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for York City had a probability of 17.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.93%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a York City win it was 1-0 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
York CityDrawChesterfield
17.76% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)22.25% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)60% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.17% (0.134 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.19% (0.187 0.19)47.81% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.01% (0.172 0.17)69.99% (-0.176 -0.18)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.39% (0.098000000000006 0.1)40.61% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.8% (0.089000000000002 0.09)77.2% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48% (0.082000000000008 0.08)15.52% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.56% (0.153 0.15)44.44% (-0.157 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    York City 17.76%
    Chesterfield 59.99%
    Draw 22.25%
York CityDrawChesterfield
1-0 @ 5.68% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 4.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 2.56% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.43% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.33% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 17.76%
1-1 @ 10.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 22.25%
0-1 @ 11.74% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 10.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.86% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.79% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.12% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 3.16% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.85% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.011 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.18% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.06% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 59.99%

Head to Head
Jan 28, 2014 7.45pm
Oct 22, 2013 7.45pm
Chesterfield
2-2
York City
Gnanduillet (64'), O'Shea (76')
Evatt (32'), Devitt (74'), Ryan (84')
O'Neill (35'), Jarvis (61')
Davies (13')
Dec 26, 2012 3pm
Sep 8, 2012 3pm
York City
2-2
Chesterfield
Walker (90'), Coulson (40')
Walker (43'), Coulson (53')
Hird (36'), Westcarr (41')
Talbot (1'), Forbes (58')