Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for York City had a probability of 17.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.93%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a York City win it was 1-0 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 17.76% ( | 22.25% ( | 60% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.19% ( | 47.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.01% ( | 69.99% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.39% ( | 40.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.8% ( | 77.2% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.48% ( | 15.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.56% ( | 44.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 5.68% ( 2-1 @ 4.77% ( 2-0 @ 2.56% ( 3-1 @ 1.43% ( 3-2 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.76% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 2-2 @ 4.44% ( Other @ 0.92% Total : 22.25% | 0-1 @ 11.74% ( 0-2 @ 10.93% ( 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0-3 @ 6.79% ( 1-3 @ 6.12% ( 0-4 @ 3.16% ( 1-4 @ 2.85% ( 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0-5 @ 1.18% ( 1-5 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 59.99% |