| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 8 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Yeovil Town | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 19 | Maidenhead United | 8 | -5 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 8 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 8 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Notts County | 8 | 14 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 53.97%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.51%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Yeovil Town win it was 1-0 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 21.07% ( | 24.96% ( | 53.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.81% ( | 54.19% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.4% ( | 75.6% ( |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.37% ( | 40.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.78% ( | 77.23% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.95% ( | 20.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.73% ( | 52.27% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 7.34% ( 2-1 @ 5.31% ( 2-0 @ 3.3% ( 3-1 @ 1.59% ( 3-2 @ 1.28% ( 3-0 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 1.26% Total : 21.07% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 2-2 @ 4.27% ( Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 13.09% ( 0-2 @ 10.51% ( 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0-3 @ 5.63% ( 1-3 @ 5.07% ( 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0-4 @ 2.26% ( 1-4 @ 2.04% ( 2-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 53.96% |