| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 7 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 7 | 12 | 16 |
| 3 | Notts County | 7 | 12 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Maidstone United | 7 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Southend United | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Oldham Athletic | 7 | -2 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 50.34%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Southend United win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Southend United |
| 50.34% ( | 24.68% ( | 24.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.6% ( | 49.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.56% ( | 71.44% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.36% ( | 19.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.4% ( | 51.6% ( |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.73% ( | 34.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.02% ( | 70.97% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Southend United |
| 1-0 @ 10.95% ( 2-1 @ 9.55% 2-0 @ 8.92% ( 3-1 @ 5.18% 3-0 @ 4.84% ( 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 4-2 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.92% Total : 50.33% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 7.21% ( 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0-2 @ 3.86% ( 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0-3 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 24.98% |